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The Replay2026-06-22
JJordan
1–2
AAlgeria
As expectedModel gave this result 37% beforehand
Jordan vs Algeria: the model vs. what happened
Few surprises: this tracked the pre-match read closely.
Before kickoff, the model gave Jordan 38%, the draw 26%, and Algeria 37% — most likely scoreline 1-1.
What actually happened: Algeria won 2-1. That result carried a pre-match probability of 37% — broadly in line with expectations.
The exact scoreline was already inside the model's top five before a ball was kicked.
Pre-match odds, reconstructed
Jordan38%
Draw26%
Algeria37%